7 ways we're getting taken
In
spite of the hype about financial literacy, the programs all have a fatal flaw:
Wall Street doesn't want smart investors. Wall Street makes its billions off
investors who are clueless.
Here's
how a leading neuroeconomist, Richard Thaler of the University of Chicago, put
it: Wall Street "needs investors who are irrational, woefully uninformed,
endowed with strange preferences or, for some other reason, willing to hold overpriced
assets."
Bottom line: The last thing Wall Street wants is 95 million
investors wise to Wall Street's con games. Wall Street revenues would drop
substantially if financial literacy really did work.
Like
a chess master, Wall Street will always be several steps ahead of the Main
Street investor. Here are tools that stack the deck:
• Commission
brokerage plans that work to Wall Street's advantage.
• Cleverly
crafted marketing and sales systems that mislead naive investors.
• Favorable
Securities and Exchange Commission regulations won by Wall Street lobbyists.
• Deceptive
portfolio alternatives, practices and advice that skim fees.
• Systemic
data manipulation with stocks, bonds, mutual funds and derivatives.
• Psychological
profiles of investors that are used against them.
• High-frequency
trading algorithms that run circles around individual investors by making
thousands of trades in hundreds of milliseconds.
Want
more reasons? Read Kahneman's new
book, "Thinking, Fast and Slow." Kahneman won the Nobel Prize in
economics a decade ago by disproving Wall Street's two-century-old assumption
that investors are rational decision-makers. We aren't.
What
is behavioral investing?
And
unfortunately nothing's changed since his historic Nobel Prize. Wall Street's
gotten far more devious in running the same old con game at its old,
broken-down casino. And America's 95 million irrational investors are still
walking right into the casino's traps.
Kahneman
says Wall Street pros "are able to extract a considerable amount of wealth
from amateurs." And yet, "few stock pickers, if any, have the skill
needed to beat the market consistently, year after year."
In
a recent piece that appeared in The New York Times Magazine, Kahneman wrote
that even though mutual funds are run by highly experienced stock traders, the
evidence from "more than 50 years of research" proves the
stock-picking skills of fund managers is "more like rolling dice than like
playing poker. At least two out of every three mutual funds underperform the
overall market in any given year."
Worse,
"this is true for nearly all stock pickers, whether they know it or not,
and most do not." Traders believe they are "making sensible, educated
guesses," but their "educated guesses are not more accurate than
blind guesses."
Kahneman
examined this "illusion of skill" firsthand when he worked with a
group of investment advisers in a firm that provided financial advice and other
services to wealthy clients. He accumulated eight years of data on "25
anonymous wealth advisers," data also used to set year-end bonuses.
Kahneman
did a series of 28 year-to-year correlations for the advisers. And what did he
find? "There was 'zero' correlation in adviser performance. . . . The
results resembled what you would expect from a dice-rolling contest, not a game
of skill."
Not
only did the managers of this wealth-management firm seem "unaware of the
game that its stock pickers were playing . . . the advisers themselves felt
they were competent professionals performing a task that was difficult but not
impossible."
Later,
Kahneman told the firm's directors that when it came to building portfolios, it
was rewarding luck as if it were skill. This should have been shocking news to
them, Kahneman noted, but it was not. He realized "that both our findings
and their implications were quickly swept under the rug and that life in the
firm went on just as before."
In
fact, over the years Kahneman's research has led him to conclude that all across
Wall Street the "illusion of skill is not only an individual aberration;
it is deeply ingrained in the culture of the industry."
My
reading of Kahneman's work over the past decade is that the brains of Main
Street investors are and always will be irrational, prone to denying reality.
Even
with occasional brief flashes of insight and reason, you can be certain Wall
Street's army of financial mercenaries are working 24/7 to manipulate you in
these seven secret ways. They really don't want savvy investors.
So
don't be fooled by those well-intentioned financial-literacy programs. Wall
Street owns the casino. The house always wins. You play, you lose.
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